Helmut Norpoth - Publications

Affiliations: 
Political Science Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, United States 
Area:
General, Ethnic and Racial Studies

66 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2020 Norpoth H. America’s Largest Denomination: None Ps Political Science & Politics. 53: 39-45. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096519001264  0.396
2019 Norpoth H. The American Voter in 1932: Evidence from a Confidential Survey Ps Political Science & Politics. 52: 14-19. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096518001014  0.327
2017 Gschwend T, Norpoth H. Machtwechsel in Sicht? Die Vorhersage des Kanzlermodells für die Bundestagswahl 2017 Politische Vierteljahresschrift. 58: 392-406. DOI: 10.5771/0032-3470-2017-3-392  0.608
2017 Kane JV, Norpoth H. No Love for Doves? Foreign Policy and Candidate Appeal Social Science Quarterly. 98: 1659-1676. DOI: 10.1111/Ssqu.12377  0.386
2017 Norpoth H, Gschwend T. Chancellor model predicts a change of the guards Ps Political Science & Politics. 50: 686-688. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096517000415  0.64
2017 Campbell JE, Norpoth H, Abramowitz AI, Lewis-Beck MS, Tien C, Erikson RS, Wlezien C, Lockerbie B, Holbrook TM, Jerôme B, Jerôme-Speziari V, Graefe A, Armstrong JS, Jones RJ, Cuzán AG. A Recap of the 2016 Election Forecasts Ps Political Science & Politics. 50: 331-338. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096516002766  0.365
2016 Norpoth H. Primary Model Predicts Trump Victory Ps Political Science & Politics. 49: 655-658. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096516001323  0.337
2016 Park J, Norpoth H. Policy popularity: The Arizona immigration law Electoral Studies. 44: 15-25. DOI: 10.1016/J.Electstud.2016.05.010  0.385
2016 Lebo MJ, Norpoth H. Victory without power: The Pm-Pendulum forecast Electoral Studies. 41: 255-259. DOI: 10.1016/J.Electstud.2015.11.012  0.41
2014 D'Elia J, Norpoth H. Winning with a Bad Economy Presidential Studies Quarterly. 44: 467-483. DOI: 10.1111/Psq.12133  0.451
2014 Norpoth H. The Timeline of Presidential Elections: How Campaigns Do (and Do Not) Matter Public Opinion Quarterly. 78: 360-362. DOI: 10.1093/Poq/Nft047  0.324
2013 Norpoth H, Sidman AH, Suong CH. Polls and Elections The New Deal Realignment in Real Time Presidential Studies Quarterly. 43: 146-166. DOI: 10.1111/Psq.12007  0.406
2013 Lebo MJ, Norpoth H. Forecasting British Elections: The 'PM and the Pendulum' Model Reconsidered Journal of Elections, Public Opinion and Parties. 23: 66-85. DOI: 10.1080/17457289.2012.745083  0.467
2013 Norpoth H, Gschwend T. Chancellor model picks merkel in 2013 German election Ps - Political Science and Politics. 46: 481-482. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096513000802  0.714
2013 Norpoth H, Bednarczuk M. Primary Model Gets It Right And Early Ps Political Science & Politics. 46: 37-37. DOI: 10.1017/S104909651200145X  0.412
2013 Bankert A, Norpoth H. Guns 'N jobs: The FDR legacy Electoral Studies. 32: 551-556. DOI: 10.1016/J.Electstud.2013.05.017  0.431
2012 Norpoth H. To Change or Not to Change Horses: The World War II Elections Presidential Studies Quarterly. 42: 324-342. DOI: 10.1111/J.1741-5705.2012.03968.X  0.467
2012 Norpoth H, Bednarczuk M. History and primary: The Obama reelection Ps - Political Science and Politics. 45: 614-617. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096512000868  0.399
2012 Sidman AH, Norpoth H. Fighting to win: Wartime morale in the American public Electoral Studies. 31: 330-341. DOI: 10.1016/J.Electstud.2012.01.008  0.351
2011 Norpoth H, Perkins DF. War and momentum: The 2008 presidential nominations Ps - Political Science and Politics. 44: 536-543. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096511000631  0.396
2011 Lebo M, Norpoth H. Yes, Prime Minister: The key to forecasting British elections Electoral Studies. 30: 258-263. DOI: 10.1016/J.Electstud.2010.09.004  0.437
2010 Robbins SM, Norpoth H. Balance or dominance? party competition in congressional politics Political Research Quarterly. 63: 316-327. DOI: 10.1177/1065912908328859  0.465
2010 Norpoth H, Gschwend T. The chancellor model: Forecasting German elections International Journal of Forecasting. 26: 42-53. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ijforecast.2009.02.008  0.709
2009 Norpoth H. From Eisenhower to Bush: Perceptions of candidates and parties Electoral Studies. 28: 523-532. DOI: 10.1016/J.Electstud.2009.05.015  0.378
2008 Norpoth H. On the Razor's edge: The forecast of the primary model Ps - Political Science and Politics. 41: 683-686. DOI: 10.1017/S104909650808116X  0.453
2007 Lebo MJ, Norpoth H. The PM and the pendulum: Dynamic forecasting of British elections British Journal of Political Science. 37: 71-87. DOI: 10.1017/S000712340700004X  0.458
2007 Norpoth H, Rusk JG. Electoral myth and reality: Realignments in American politics Electoral Studies. 26: 392-403. DOI: 10.1016/J.Electstud.2006.10.017  0.401
2007 Norpoth H, Sidman AH. Mission accomplished: The wartime election of 2004 Political Behavior. 29: 175-195. DOI: 10.1007/S11109-007-9036-7  0.39
2005 Norpoth H. As New Hampshire Goes (in January) Ps Political Science & Politics. 38: 37-37. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096505055757  0.449
2005 Gschwend T, Norpoth H. Prognosemodell auf dem Prüfstand: Die Bundestagswahl 2005 Politische Vierteljahresschrift. 46: 682-688. DOI: 10.1007/S11615-005-0308-8  0.616
2005 Gschwend T, Norpoth H. Forecasting the 2005 German election: Test of a model Politische Vierteljahresschrift. 46.  0.705
2004 Lyengar S, Norpoth H, Hahn KS. Consumer Demand for Election News: The Horserace Sells Journal of Politics. 66: 157-175. DOI: 10.1046/J.1468-2508.2004.00146.X  0.345
2004 Norpoth H. From primary to general election: A forecast of the presidential vote Ps - Political Science and Politics. 37: 737-740. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096504045032  0.465
2004 Norpoth H. Forecasting British elections: A dynamic perspective Electoral Studies. 23: 297-305. DOI: 10.1016/S0261-3794(02)00070-7  0.406
2003 Norpoth H, Gschwend T. The Red-Green Victory: Against All Odds? German Politics and Society. 21: 15-34. DOI: 10.3167/104503003782353619  0.602
2001 Norpoth H. Divided government and economic voting Journal of Politics. 63: 414-435. DOI: 10.1111/0022-3816.00073  0.421
2001 Norpoth H. Primary colors: A mixed blessing for Al Gore Ps - Political Science and Politics. 34: 45-48. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096501000075  0.392
2001 Meffert MF, Norpoth H, Ruhil AVS. Realignment and macropartisanship American Political Science Review. 95: 953-962. DOI: 10.1017/S0003055400400122  0.382
2000 Nickelsburg M, Norpoth H. Commander-in-chief or chief economist? The president in the eye of the public Electoral Studies. 19: 313-332. DOI: 10.1016/S0261-3794(99)00054-2  0.365
1997 Haller HB, Norpoth H. Reality bites: News exposure and economic opinion Public Opinion Quarterly. 61: 555-575. DOI: 10.1086/297817  0.429
1997 Wilkin S, Haller B, Norpoth H. From Argentina to Zambia: A world-wide test of economic voting Electoral Studies. 16: 301-316. DOI: 10.1016/S0261-3794(97)00028-0  0.443
1996 Norpoth H. Presidents and the prospective voter Journal of Politics. 58: 776-792. DOI: 10.2307/2960444  0.424
1996 Norpoth H. Of time and candidates: A forecast for 1996 American Politics Research. 24: 443-467. DOI: 10.1177/1532673X9602400404  0.433
1995 Norpoth H. Is Clinton Doomed? An Early Forecast for 1996 Ps: Political Science &Amp; Politics. 28: 201-207. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096500057140  0.411
1994 Norpoth H, Segal JA, Mishler W, Sheehan RS. Popular influence on supreme court decisions American Political Science Review. 88: 711-724. DOI: 10.2307/2944805  0.336
1994 Haller HB, Norpoth H. Let the Good Times Roll: The Economic Expectations of U.S. Voters American Journal of Political Science. 38: 625. DOI: 10.2307/2111600  0.394
1992 Norpoth H, Buchanan B. Wanted: The education president issue trespassing by political candidates Public Opinion Quarterly. 56: 87-99. DOI: 10.1086/269297  0.323
1991 Norpoth H, Lewis-Beck MS, Lafay J. Economics and Politics The calculus of support Journal Des Economistes Et Des Etudes Humaines. 2: 579-581. DOI: 10.1515/Jeeh-1991-0410  0.413
1991 Goergen C, Norpoth H. Government turnover and economic accountability Electoral Studies. 10: 191-207. DOI: 10.1016/0261-3794(91)90012-H  0.442
1988 Norpoth H, Padgett S, Burkett T, Wallach HGP, Romoser GK. Political Parties and Elections in West Germany: The Search for a New Stability . By Stephen Padgett and Tony Burkett (New York: St. Martin's, 1986. xii, 308p. $32.50 cloth; $14.95 paper). - West German Politics in the Mid-Eighties: Crisis and Continuity . Edited by H. G. Peter Wallach and George K. Romoser (New York: Praeger, 1985. viii, 278p. $34.95). American Political Science Review. 82: 325-327. DOI: 10.2307/1958120  0.368
1987 Norpoth H. Guns and Butter and Government Popularity in Britain American Political Science Review. 81: 949-959. DOI: 10.2307/1962685  0.444
1987 Norpoth H. Under way and here to stay party realignment in the 1980s? Public Opinion Quarterly. 51: 376-391. DOI: 10.1086/269042  0.379
1987 Norpoth H. The Falklands war and government popularity in Britain: Rally without consequence or surge without decline? Electoral Studies. 6: 3-16. DOI: 10.1016/0261-3794(87)90047-3  0.448
1986 Abramowitz AI, Cover AD, Norpoth H. The President's Party in Midterm Elections: Going from Bad to Worse American Journal of Political Science. 30: 562. DOI: 10.2307/2111090  0.416
1985 Norpoth H, Lodge M. The Difference between Attitudes and Nonattitudes in the Mass Public: Just Measurements?* American Journal of Political Science. 29: 291. DOI: 10.2307/2111168  0.333
1984 Norpoth H. The Making of a More Partisan Electorate in West Germany British Journal of Political Science. 14: 53-71. DOI: 10.1017/S0007123400003434  0.433
1984 Norpoth H. Economics, politics, and the cycle of presidential popularity Political Behavior. 6: 253-273. DOI: 10.1007/Bf00989620  0.442
1984 Finkel S, Norpoth H. Candidates and issues in the 1980 campaign: The ideological connection Political Behavior. 6: 61-77. DOI: 10.1007/Bf00988229  0.41
1983 Norpoth H. Macroeconomic Conditions and Fluctuations of Presidential Popularity: The Question of Lagged Effects * American Journal of Political Science. 27: 785. DOI: 10.2307/2110893  0.36
1982 Norpoth H, Rusk JG. Partisan Dealignment in the American Electorate: Itemizing the Deductions since 1964 American Political Science Review. 76: 522-537. DOI: 10.1017/S0003055400188380  0.388
1981 Baker KL, Norpoth H. Candidates on television: The 1972 electoral debates in West Germany Public Opinion Quarterly. 45: 329-345. DOI: 10.1086/268668  0.456
1980 Norpoth H, Baker KL. Mass Media Use and Electoral Choice in West Germany Comparative Politics. 13: 1. DOI: 10.2307/421760  0.385
1980 Norpoth H. Choosing a coalition partner: Mass Preferences and Elite Decisions in West Germany Comparative Political Studies. 12: 424-441. DOI: 10.1177/001041408001200404  0.412
1979 Norpoth H. The Parties Come to Order! Dimensions of Preferential Choice in the West German Electorate, 1961–1976 American Political Science Review. 73: 724-736. DOI: 10.2307/1955400  0.445
1978 Norpoth H. Party identification in West Germany: Tracing an Elusive Concept Comparative Political Studies. 11: 36-61. DOI: 10.1177/001041407801100103  0.306
1976 Norpoth H. Explaining Party Cohesion in Congress: The Case of Shared Policy Attitudes American Political Science Review. 70: 1156-1171. DOI: 10.2307/1959382  0.379
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