Michael Don Ward - Publications

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79 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2019 Minhas S, Hoff PD, Ward MD. Inferential Approaches for Network Analysis: AMEN for Latent Factor Models Political Analysis. 27: 208-222. DOI: 10.1017/Pan.2018.50  0.378
2018 Hollenbach FM, Bojinov I, Minhas S, Metternich NW, Ward MD, Volfovsky A. Multiple Imputation Using Gaussian Copulas Sociological Methods & Research. 4912411879938. DOI: 10.1177/0049124118799381  0.309
2017 Beger A, Hill DW, Metternich NW, Minhas S, Ward MD. Splitting It Up: The spduration Split-Population Duration Regression Package for Time-Varying Covariates R Journal. 9: 474-486. DOI: 10.32614/Rj-2017-056  0.303
2017 Ward MD, Beger A. Lessons from near real-time forecasting of irregular leadership changes Journal of Peace Research. 54: 141-156. DOI: 10.1177/0022343316680858  0.382
2017 Metternich NW, Minhas S, Ward MD. Firewall? or Wall on Fire? A Unified Framework of Conflict Contagion and the Role of Ethnic Exclusion Journal of Conflict Resolution. 61: 1151-1173. DOI: 10.1177/0022002715603452  0.395
2016 Minhas S, Hoff PD, Ward MD. A new approach to analyzing coevolving longitudinal networks in international relations Journal of Peace Research. 53: 491-505. DOI: 10.1177/0022343316630783  0.427
2016 Beger A, Dorff CL, Ward MD. Irregular leadership changes in 2014: Forecasts using ensemble, split-population duration models International Journal of Forecasting. 32: 98-111. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ijforecast.2015.01.009  0.326
2015 Minhas S, Ulfelder J, Ward MD. Mining texts to efficiently generate global data on political regime types Research & Politics. 2: 2053168015589217. DOI: 10.1177/2053168015589217  0.321
2015 Chiba D, Metternich NW, Ward MD. Every Story Has a Beginning, Middle, and an End (But Not Always in That Order): Predicting Duration Dynamics in a Unified Framework Political Science Research and Methods. 3: 515-541. DOI: 10.1017/Psrm.2014.46  0.347
2015 Montgomery JM, Hollenbach FM, Ward MD. Calibrating ensemble forecasting models with sparse data in the social sciences International Journal of Forecasting. DOI: 10.1016/J.Ijforecast.2014.08.001  0.335
2014 Beger A, Dorff CL, Ward MD. Ensemble forecasting of irregular leadership change Research & Politics. 1: 2053168014557511. DOI: 10.1177/2053168014557511  0.331
2014 Bakke KM, O'Loughlin J, Toal G, Ward MD. Convincing State-Builders? Disaggregating Internal Legitimacy in Abkhazia International Studies Quarterly. 58: 591-607. DOI: 10.1111/Isqu.12110  0.325
2014 Cao X, Ward MD. Do Democracies Attract Portfolio Investment? Transnational Portfolio Investments Modeled as Dynamic Network International Interactions. 40: 216-245. DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2014.880697  0.42
2013 Gleditsch KS, Ward MD. Forecasting is difficult, especially about the future: Using contentious issues to forecast interstate disputes Journal of Peace Research. 50: 17-31. DOI: 10.1177/0022343312449033  0.63
2013 Ward MD, Metternich NW, Dorff CL, Gallop M, Hollenbach FM, Schultz A, Weschle S. Learning from the past and stepping into the future: Toward a new generation of conflict prediction International Studies Review. 15: 473-490. DOI: 10.1111/Misr.12072  0.405
2013 Metternich NW, Dorff C, Gallop M, Weschle S, Ward MD. Antigovernment Networks in Civil Conflicts: How Network Structures Affect Conflictual Behavior American Journal of Political Science. 57: 892-911. DOI: 10.1111/Ajps.12039  0.717
2013 Dorff C, Ward MD. Networks, Dyads, And The Social Relations Model Political Science Research and Methods. 1: 159-178. DOI: 10.1017/Psrm.2013.21  0.741
2013 Ward MD, Ahlquist JS, Rozenas A. Gravity's Rainbow: A dynamic latent space model for the world trade network Network Science. 1: 95-118. DOI: 10.1017/Nws.2013.1  0.406
2012 Montgomery JM, Hollenbach FM, Ward MD. Improving predictions using ensemble bayesian model averaging Political Analysis. 20: 271-291. DOI: 10.1093/Pan/Mps002  0.319
2012 Ward MD. Networks of Nations: The Evolution, Structure, and Impact of International Networks, 1816–2001 . By Zeev Maoz. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2010. 448p. $95.00 cloth, $36.99 paper. Perspectives On Politics. 10: 224-225. DOI: 10.1017/S1537592711004828  0.338
2012 Montgomery JM, Hollenbach FM, Ward MD. Ensemble predictions of the 2012 US presidential election Ps - Political Science and Politics. 45: 651-654. DOI: 10.1017/S1049096512000959  0.371
2011 Ward MD, Stovel K, Sacks A. Network analysis and political science Annual Review of Political Science. 14: 245-264. DOI: 10.1146/Annurev.Polisci.12.040907.115949  0.375
2011 Greenhill B, Ward MD, Sacks A. The Separation Plot: A New Visual Method for Evaluating the Fit of Binary Models American Journal of Political Science. 55: 991-1002. DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5907.2011.00525.X  0.301
2010 Ward MD, Greenhill BD, Bakke KM. The perils of policy by p-value: Predicting civil conflicts Journal of Peace Research. 47: 363-375. DOI: 10.1177/0022343309356491  0.38
2010 Weidmann NB, Ward MD. Predicting Conflict in Space and Time Journal of Conflict Resolution. 54: 883-901. DOI: 10.1177/0022002710371669  0.38
2009 Bakke KM, Cao X, O'loughlin J, Ward MD. Social distance in Bosnia-Herzegovina and the North Caucasus region of Russia: Inter and intra-ethnic attitudes and identities Nations and Nationalism. 15: 227-253. DOI: 10.1111/J.1469-8129.2009.00363.X  0.315
2009 Bakke KM, O'Loughlin J, Ward MD. Reconciliation in Conflict-Affected Societies: Multilevel Modeling of Individual and Contextual Factors in the North Caucasus of Russia Annals of the Association of American Geographers. 99: 1012-1021. DOI: 10.1080/00045600903260622  0.377
2009 Ward MD, Guetzkow D. Harold S. Guetzkow Ps Political Science & Politics. 42: 413-414. DOI: 10.1017/S104909650922066X  0.304
2008 Ward MD, Hoff PD. Analyzing dependencies in geo-economics and geo-politics Contributions to Conflict Management, Peace Economics and Development. 6: 133-160. DOI: 10.1016/S1572-8323(08)06009-8  0.411
2007 Ward MD, Hoff PD. Persistent patterns of international commerce Journal of Peace Research. 44: 157-175. DOI: 10.1177/0022343307075119  0.447
2007 Ward MD, Siverson RM, Cao X. Disputes, democracies, and dependencies: A reexamination of the Kantian peace American Journal of Political Science. 51: 583-601. DOI: 10.1111/J.1540-5907.2007.00269.X  0.385
2007 CAO X, PRAKASH A, WARD MD. Protecting Jobs in the Age of Globalization: Examining the Relative Salience of Social Welfare and Industrial Subsidies in OECD Countries International Studies Quarterly. 51: 301-327. DOI: 10.1111/J.1468-2478.2007.00453.X  0.364
2006 Gleditsch KS, Ward MD. Diffusion and the international context of democratization International Organization. 60: 911-933. DOI: 10.1017/S0020818306060309  0.631
2004 Hoff PD, Ward MD. Modeling dependencies in international relations networks Political Analysis. 12: 160-175. DOI: 10.1093/Pan/Mph012  0.45
2002 Heagerty P, Ward MD, Gleditsch KS. Windows of Opportunity: Window Subseries Empirical Variance Estimators in International Relations Political Analysis. 10: 304-317. DOI: 10.1093/Pan/10.3.304  0.614
2002 Ward MD, Gleditsch KS. Location, Location, Location: An MCMC Approach to Modeling the Spatial Context of War and Peace Political Analysis. 10: 244-260. DOI: 10.1093/Pan/10.3.244  0.628
2002 Ward MD, O'Loughlin J. Spatial Processes and Political Methodology: Introduction to the Special Issue Political Analysis. 10: 211-216. DOI: 10.1093/Pan/10.3.211  0.365
2001 Gleditsch KS, Ward MD. Measuring space: A minimum-distance database and applications to international studies Journal of Peace Research. 38: 739-758. DOI: 10.1177/0022343301038006006  0.628
2000 Gleditsch KS, Ward MD. War and peace in space and time: The role of democratization International Studies Quarterly. 44: 1-29. DOI: 10.1111/0020-8833.00146  0.649
1999 Shin M, Ward MD. Lost in Space POLITICAL GEOGRAPHY AND THE DEFENSE-GROWTH TRADE-OFF Journal of Conflict Resolution. 43: 793-817. DOI: 10.1177/0022002799043006006  0.38
1999 Gleditsch KS, Ward MD. A revised list of independent states since the congress of Vienna International Interactions. 25: 393-413. DOI: 10.1080/03050629908434958  0.615
1998 Ward MD, Gleditsch KS. Democratizing for peace American Political Science Review. 92: 51-61. DOI: 10.2307/2585928  0.639
1998 O'Loughlin J, Ward MD, Lofdahl CL, Cohen JS, Brown DS, Reilly D, Gleditsch KS, Shin M. The Diffusion of Democracy, 1946–1994 Annals of the Association of American Geographers. 88: 545-574. DOI: 10.1111/0004-5608.00112  0.619
1998 Cohen JS, Ward MD. Great expectations: Russian defence conversion Defence and Peace Economics. 9: 381-394. DOI: 10.1080/10430719808404911  0.314
1997 Gleditsch KS, Ward MD. Double take: A reexamination of democracy and autocracy in modern polities Journal of Conflict Resolution. 41: 361-383. DOI: 10.1177/0022002797041003002  0.63
1996 Cohen JS, Stevenson R, Mintz A, Ward MD. Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in Israel: The Indirect Link Journal of Peace Research. 33: 341-352. DOI: 10.1177/0022343396033003007  0.333
1995 Ward MD, Davis DR, Lofdahl CL. A Century of Tradeoffs: Defense and Growth in Japan and the United States International Studies Quarterly. 39: 27-50. DOI: 10.2307/2600722  0.347
1995 Fontanel J, Borissova I, Ward M. The principles of arms conversion in the case of Russia Defence and Peace Economics. 6: 237-251. DOI: 10.1080/10430719508404828  0.339
1995 Ward MD, Cohen JS, Betsill MM. The three faces of conversion in the usa Defence and Peace Economics. 6: 221-235. DOI: 10.1080/10430719508404827  0.314
1995 Ward MD, Penubarti M, Cohen JS, Lofdahl CL. Guns and growth around the globe International Interactions. 21: 181-201. DOI: 10.1080/03050629508434865  0.34
1993 Ward MD, Davis DR, Chan S. Military Spending and Economic Growth in Taiwan Armed Forces & Society. 19: 533-550. DOI: 10.1177/0095327X9301900404  0.319
1993 Fontanel J, Ward MD. Military expenditures, armament, and disarmament Defence and Peace Economics. 4: 63-78. DOI: 10.1080/10430719308404748  0.367
1992 Gibson ML, Ward MD. Export Orientation: Pathway or Artifact? International Studies Quarterly. 36: 331-343. DOI: 10.2307/2600776  0.344
1992 Ward MD, Davis DR. Sizing up the Peace Dividend: Economic Growth and Military Spending in the United States, 1948–1996 American Political Science Review. 86: 748-755. DOI: 10.2307/1964136  0.364
1992 Ward MD, Rajmaira S. Reciprocity and Norms in U.S.-Soviet Foreign Policy Journal of Conflict Resolution. 36: 342-368. DOI: 10.1177/0022002792036002006  0.354
1991 Ward MD, Davis D, Penubarti M, Rajmaira S, Cochran M. Country Survey I–Military Spending in India 1 Defence and Peace Economics. 3: 41-63. DOI: 10.1080/10430719108404714  0.345
1991 Ward MD, Park K. National security and the two Koreas Defence and Peace Economics. 2: 135-150. DOI: 10.1080/10430719108404686  0.379
1991 Kirby A, Ward MD. Modernity and the process of state formation: An examination of 20th century Africa International Interactions. 17: 113-126. DOI: 10.1080/03050629108434772  0.326
1990 Rajmaira S, Ward MD. Evolving Foreign Policy Norms: Reciprocity in the Superpower Triad International Studies Quarterly. 34: 457-475. DOI: 10.2307/2600607  0.366
1990 Davis DR, Ward MD. They Dance Alone: Deaths and the Disappeared in Contemporary Chile Journal of Conflict Resolution. 34: 449-475. DOI: 10.1177/0022002790034003004  0.398
1990 Davis DR, Ward MD. The Entrepreneurial State: Evidence from Taiwan Comparative Political Studies. 23: 314-333. DOI: 10.1177/0010414090023003002  0.369
1989 Mintz A, Ward MD. The political economy of military spending in Israel American Political Science Review. 83: 521-533. DOI: 10.2307/1962403  0.405
1988 Ward MD, House LL. A Theory of the Behavioral Power of Nations Journal of Conflict Resolution. 32: 3-36. DOI: 10.1177/0022002788032001001  0.377
1988 Ward MD. Things fall apart: A logical analysis of crisis resolution dynamics International Interactions. 15: 65-79. DOI: 10.1080/03050628808434720  0.333
1988 Park KY, Ward MD. A research note on the correlates of war national capability data: Some revised procedures applied to the 1950–1980 era International Interactions. 14: 191-199. DOI: 10.1080/03050628808434705  0.319
1988 House LL, Ward MD. The behavioral power of nations: an analysis of verbal conflict using the equations of statistical equilibrium Quality and Quantity. 22: 167-189. DOI: 10.1007/Bf00223040  0.325
1987 Ward MD, Mintz A. Dynamics of Military Spending in Israel: A computer simulation Journal of Conflict Resolution. 31: 86-105. DOI: 10.1177/0022002787031001006  0.361
1987 Kirby AM, Ward MD. The Spatial Analysis of Peace and War Comparative Political Studies. 20: 293-313. DOI: 10.1177/0010414087020003002  0.38
1987 Ward MD, Kirby AM. Reexamining Spatial Models of International Conflicts Annals of the Association of American Geographers. 77: 279-283. DOI: 10.1111/J.1467-8306.1987.Tb00159.X  0.322
1984 Ward MD. The Political Economy of Growth . Edited by Dennis C. Mueller. (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1983. Pp. vii + 285. $23.50.) American Political Science Review. 78: 544-545. DOI: 10.2307/1963423  0.317
1984 Ward MD. Differential Paths to Parity: A Study of the Contemporary Arms Race American Political Science Review. 78: 297-317. DOI: 10.2307/1963366  0.364
1984 Ward MD. The Political Economy of Arms Races and International Tension Conflict Management and Peace Science. 7: 1-24. DOI: 10.1177/073889428400700201  0.375
1984 Ward MD. Modeling the USA-USSR arms race Simulation. 43: 196-203. DOI: 10.1177/003754978404300407  0.319
1984 Ward MD, Mahajan AK. Defense Expenditures, Security Threats, and Governmental Deficits Journal of Conflict Resolution. 28: 382-419. DOI: 10.1177/0022002784028003002  0.341
1982 Ward MD. Cooperation and Conflict in Foreign Policy BehaviorReaction and Memory International Studies Quarterly. 26: 87-126. DOI: 10.2307/2600600  0.378
1982 Ward MD, Widmaier U. The domestic‐international conflict nexus: New evidence and old hypotheses International Interactions. 9: 75-101. DOI: 10.1080/03050628208434591  0.39
1981 Ward MD. Seasonality, reaction, expectation, adaptation, and memory in cooperative and conflictual foreign policy behavior: A research note International Interactions. 8: 229-245. DOI: 10.1080/03050628108434578  0.337
1979 Ward MD, Guetzkow H. Toward integrated global models: From economic engineering to social science modeling Journal of Policy Modeling. 1: 445-464. DOI: 10.1016/0161-8938(79)90008-5  0.425
1976 Park T, Abolfathi F, Ward M. Resource nationalism in the foreign policy behavior of oil exporting countries (1947–1974)† International Interactions. 2: 247-262. DOI: 10.1080/03050627608434444  0.335
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