Philip E. Tetlock, Ph.D.

Affiliations: 
2010- Psychology University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States 
 2010- Management University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States 
Area:
integrative complexity, wisdom of crowds, prediction
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"Philip Tetlock"

Children

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Jennifer L. Lerner grad student UC Berkeley (Neurotree)
Linda J. Skitka grad student Penn (Neurotree)
Carmit T. Tadmor grad student 2006 UC Berkeley
Shefali V. Patil grad student 2014 Penn
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Publications

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Mellers BA, Tetlock PE. (2019) From discipline-centered rivalries to solution-centered science: Producing better probability estimates for policy makers. The American Psychologist. 74: 290-300
Horowitz M, Stewart BM, Tingley D, et al. (2019) What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance at Geopolitical Forecasting The Journal of Politics. 81: 1388-1404
Mandel DR, Tetlock PE. (2018) Correcting Judgment Correctives in National Security Intelligence. Frontiers in Psychology. 9: 2640
Mellers B, Tetlock P, Arkes HR. (2018) Forecasting tournaments, epistemic humility and attitude depolarization. Cognition
Tetlock PE, Mellers BA, Scoblic JP. (2017) Bringing probability judgments into policy debates via forecasting tournaments. Science (New York, N.Y.). 355: 481-483
Tetlock PE, Mellers BA, Scoblic JP. (2017) Sacred versus Pseudo-sacred Values: How People Cope with Taboo Trade-Offs The American Economic Review. 107: 96-99
Merkle EC, Steyvers M, Mellers B, et al. (2017) A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment: The questions we choose also matter International Journal of Forecasting. 33: 817-832
Mandel DR, Tetlock PE. (2016) Debunking the Myth of Value-Neutral Virginity: Toward Truth in Scientific Advertising. Frontiers in Psychology. 7: 451
Fincher KM, Tetlock PE. (2016) Perceptual dehumanization of faces is activated by norm violations and facilitates norm enforcement. Journal of Experimental Psychology. General. 145: 131-46
Patil SV, Tetlock PE, Mellers BA. (2016) Accountability Systems and Group Norms: Balancing the Risks of Mindless Conformity and Reckless Deviation Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
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