Barbara Mellers

Affiliations: 
Psychology University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, United States 
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"Barbara Mellers"
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Jeff T. Larsen grad student Penn (PsychTree)
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Killingsworth MA, Kahneman D, Mellers B. (2023) Income and emotional well-being: A conflict resolved. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120: e2208661120
Atanasov P, Witkowski J, Ungar L, et al. (2020) Small steps to accuracy: Incremental belief updaters are better forecasters Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes. 160: 19-35
Bhatia S, Mellers B, Walasek L. (2019) Affective responses to uncertain real-world outcomes: Sentiment change on Twitter. Plos One. 14: e0212489
Horowitz M, Stewart BM, Tingley D, et al. (2019) What Makes Foreign Policy Teams Tick: Explaining Variation in Group Performance at Geopolitical Forecasting The Journal of Politics. 81: 1388-1404
Mellers B, Tetlock P, Arkes HR. (2018) Forecasting tournaments, epistemic humility and attitude depolarization. Cognition
Atanasov P, Rescober P, Stone E, et al. (2017) Distilling the Wisdom of Crowds: Prediction Markets vs. Prediction Polls Management Science. 63: 691-706
Merkle EC, Steyvers M, Mellers B, et al. (2017) A neglected dimension of good forecasting judgment: The questions we choose also matter International Journal of Forecasting. 33: 817-832
Mellers B, Stone E, Murray T, et al. (2015) Identifying and cultivating superforecasters as a method of improving probabilistic predictions. Perspectives On Psychological Science : a Journal of the Association For Psychological Science. 10: 267-81
Mellers B, Stone E, Atanasov P, et al. (2015) The psychology of intelligence analysis: drivers of prediction accuracy in world politics. Journal of Experimental Psychology. Applied. 21: 1-14
Tetlock P, Mellers B. (2014) Judging political judgment. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 111: 11574-5
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