Michael J. Tildesley - Publications

Affiliations: 
University of Warwick, UK, Coventry, England, United Kingdom 

65/107 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2023 Rysava K, Tildesley MJ. Identification of dynamical changes of rabies transmission under quarantine: Community-based measures towards rabies elimination. Plos Computational Biology. 19: e1011187. PMID 38100528 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011187  0.34
2023 Hill EM, Prosser NS, Brown PE, Ferguson E, Green MJ, Kaler J, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ. Incorporating heterogeneity in farmer disease control behaviour into a livestock disease transmission model. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 219: 106019. PMID 37699310 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.106019  0.326
2023 de Klerk JN, Gorsich EE, Grewar JD, Atkins BD, Tennant WSD, Labuschagne K, Tildesley MJ. Modelling African horse sickness emergence and transmission in the South African control area using a deterministic metapopulation approach. Plos Computational Biology. 19: e1011448. PMID 37672554 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011448  0.334
2023 Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li SL, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov AA, Bhargava SH, Cavany SM, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, ... ... Tildesley MJ, et al. Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120: e2207537120. PMID 37098064 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2207537120  0.332
2023 Beck-Johnson LM, Gorsich EE, Hallman C, Tildesley MJ, Miller RS, Webb CT. An exploration of within-herd dynamics of a transboundary livestock disease: A foot and mouth disease case study. Epidemics. 42: 100668. PMID 36696830 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2023.100668  0.364
2023 Althobaity Y, Tildesley MJ. Modelling the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the spread of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia. Scientific Reports. 13: 843. PMID 36646733 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-26468-5  0.307
2022 Gilbertson K, Brommesson P, Minter A, Hallman C, Miller RS, Portacci K, Sellman S, Tildesley MJ, Webb CT, Lindström T, Beck-Johnson LM. The Importance of Livestock Demography and Infrastructure in Driving Foot and Mouth Disease Dynamics. Life (Basel, Switzerland). 12. PMID 36295038 DOI: 10.3390/life12101604  0.371
2022 Probert WJM, Nicol S, Ferrari MJ, Li SL, Shea K, Tildesley MJ, Runge MC. Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models. Philosophical Transactions. Series a, Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences. 380: 20210314. PMID 35965457 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0314  0.313
2022 Tildesley MJ, Vassall A, Riley S, Jit M, Sandmann F, Hill EM, Thompson RN, Atkins BD, Edmunds J, Dyson L, Keeling MJ. Optimal health and economic impact of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures prior and post vaccination in England: a mathematical modelling study. Royal Society Open Science. 9: 211746. PMID 35958089 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.211746  0.353
2022 Hill EM, Prosser NS, Ferguson E, Kaler J, Green MJ, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ. Modelling livestock infectious disease control policy under differing social perspectives on vaccination behaviour. Plos Computational Biology. 18: e1010235. PMID 35834473 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010235  0.307
2022 Fairbanks EL, Baylis M, Daly JM, Tildesley MJ. Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco. Epidemics. 39: 100566. PMID 35576724 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100566  0.334
2022 Kretzschmar ME, Ashby B, Fearon E, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Quaife M, Rozhnova G, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Swallow B, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Villela D. Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics. 38: 100546. PMID 35183834 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100546  0.345
2022 Keeling MJ, Dyson L, Guyver-Fletcher G, Holmes A, Semple MG, Tildesley MJ, Hill EM. Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. Statistical Methods in Medical Research. 9622802211070257. PMID 35037796 DOI: 10.1177/09622802211070257  0.374
2021 Tao Y, Probert WJM, Shea K, Runge MC, Lafferty K, Tildesley M, Ferrari M. Causes of delayed outbreak responses and their impacts on epidemic spread. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 18: 20200933. PMID 33653111 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2020.0933  0.337
2020 van Andel M, Tildesley MJ, Gates MC. Challenges and opportunities for using national animal datasets to support foot-and-mouth disease control. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases. PMID 32986919 DOI: 10.1111/tbed.13858  0.315
2020 Keeling MJ, Dyson L, Guyver-Fletcher G, Holmes A, Semple MG, Tildesley MJ, Hill EM. Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. Medrxiv : the Preprint Server For Health Sciences. PMID 32817970 DOI: 10.1101/2020.08.04.20163782  0.367
2020 Thompson RN, Hollingsworth TD, Isham V, Arribas-Bel D, Ashby B, Britton T, Challenor P, Chappell LHK, Clapham H, Cunniffe NJ, Dawid AP, Donnelly CA, Eggo RM, Funk S, Gilbert N, ... ... Tildesley MJ, et al. Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings. Biological Sciences. 287: 20201405. PMID 32781946 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2020.1405  0.663
2020 Atkins BD, Jewell CP, Runge MC, Ferrari MJ, Shea K, Probert WJM, Tildesley MJ. Anticipating future learning affects current control decisions: A comparison between passive and active adaptive management in an epidemiological setting. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 110380. PMID 32698028 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2020.110380  0.415
2020 Tennant W, Tildesley MJ, Spencer SEF, Keeling MJ. Climate drivers of plague epidemiology in British India, 1898–1949 Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 287: 20200538. PMID 32517609 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2020.0538  0.405
2020 Shea K, Runge MC, Pannell D, Probert WJM, Li SL, Tildesley M, Ferrari M. Harnessing multiple models for outbreak management. Science (New York, N.Y.). 368: 577-579. PMID 32381703 DOI: 10.1126/Science.Abb9934  0.326
2020 Sellman S, Tildesley MJ, Burdett CL, Miller RS, Hallman C, Webb CT, Wennergren U, Portacci K, Lindström T. Realistic assumptions about spatial locations and clustering of premises matter for models of foot-and-mouth disease spread in the United States. Plos Computational Biology. 16: e1007641. PMID 32078622 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1007641  0.428
2020 Tsao K, Sellman S, Beck-Johnson LM, Murrieta DJ, Hallman C, Lindström T, Miller RS, Portacci K, Tildesley MJ, Webb CT. Effects of regional differences and demography in modelling foot-and-mouth disease in cattle at the national scale. Interface Focus. 10: 20190054. PMID 31897292 DOI: 10.1098/Rsfs.2019.0054  0.456
2019 Dyson L, Mooring EQ, Holmes A, Tildesley MJ, Marks M. Insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling on the proposed 2030 goals for Yaws. Gates Open Research. 3: 1576. PMID 31886455 DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13078.1  0.362
2019 Li SL, Ferrari MJ, Bjørnstad ON, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Tildesley MJ, Pannell D, Shea K. Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control: Ebola as a case study. Proceedings. Biological Sciences. 286: 20190774. PMID 31213182 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2019.0774  0.405
2019 Probert WJM, Lakkur S, Fonnesbeck CJ, Shea K, Runge MC, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ. Context matters: using reinforcement learning to develop human-readable, state-dependent outbreak response policies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 374: 20180277. PMID 31104604 DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.2018.0277  0.409
2019 Dessavre AG, Southall E, Tildesley MJ, Dyson L. The problem of detrending when analysing potential indicators of disease elimination. Journal of Theoretical Biology. PMID 30980869 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2019.04.011  0.43
2019 Arzt J, Branan MA, Delgado AH, Yadav S, Moreno-Torres KI, Tildesley MJ, Stenfeldt C. Quantitative impacts of incubation phase transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus. Scientific Reports. 9: 2707. PMID 30804426 DOI: 10.1038/S41598-019-39029-0  0.411
2019 Rysava K, Tildesley M. Cost-effectiveness analysis of One Health surveillance strategies for rabies control Online Journal of Public Health Informatics. 11. DOI: 10.5210/Ojphi.V11I1.9783  0.364
2018 Retkute R, Jewell CP, Van Boeckel TP, Zhang G, Xiao X, Thanapongtharm W, Keeling M, Gilbert M, Tildesley MJ. Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand: The role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 159: 171-181. PMID 30314780 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2018.09.014  0.394
2018 Hill EM, House T, Dhingra MS, Kalpravidh W, Morzaria S, Osmani MG, Brum E, Yamage M, Kalam MA, Prosser DJ, Takekawa JY, Xiao X, Gilbert M, Tildesley MJ. The impact of surveillance and control on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Dhaka division, Bangladesh. Plos Computational Biology. 14: e1006439. PMID 30212472 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1006439  0.443
2018 Probert WJM, Jewell CP, Werkman M, Fonnesbeck CJ, Goto Y, Runge MC, Sekiguchi S, Shea K, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ. Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks. Plos Computational Biology. 14: e1006202. PMID 30040815 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1006202  0.512
2018 Sellman S, Tsao K, Tildesley MJ, Brommesson P, Webb CT, Wennergren U, Keeling MJ, Lindström T. Need for speed: An optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. Plos Computational Biology. 14: e1006086. PMID 29624574 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1006086  0.397
2018 Meadows AJ, Mundt CC, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ. Disentangling the influence of livestock vs. farm density on livestock disease epidemics Ecosphere. 9: e02294. DOI: 10.1002/Ecs2.2294  0.312
2017 Gilbert M, Prosser DJ, Zhang G, Artois J, Dhingra MS, Tildesley M, Newman SH, Guo F, Black P, Claes F, Kalpradvidh W, Shin Y, Jeong W, Takekawa JY, Lee H, et al. Could Changes in the Agricultural Landscape of Northeastern China Have Influenced the Long-Distance Transmission of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5Nx Viruses? Frontiers in Veterinary Science. 4: 225. PMID 29312966 DOI: 10.3389/Fvets.2017.00225  0.329
2017 Li SL, Bjørnstad ON, Ferrari MJ, Mummah R, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Tildesley MJ, Probert WJM, Shea K. Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 28507121 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1617482114  0.44
2017 Hill EM, Tildesley MJ, House T. Corrigendum: Evidence for history-dependence of influenza pandemic emergence. Scientific Reports. 7: 46770. PMID 28471456 DOI: 10.1038/Srep46770  0.315
2017 Hill EM, House T, Dhingra MS, Kalpravidh W, Morzaria S, Osmani MG, Yamage M, Xiao X, Gilbert M, Tildesley MJ. Modelling H5N1 in Bangladesh across spatial scales: Model complexity and zoonotic transmission risk. Epidemics. PMID 28325494 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2017.02.007  0.473
2017 Hill EM, Tildesley MJ, House T. Evidence for history-dependence of influenza pandemic emergence. Scientific Reports. 7: 43623. PMID 28252671 DOI: 10.1038/Srep43623  0.398
2017 Webb CT, Ferrari M, Lindström T, Carpenter T, Dürr S, Garner G, Jewell C, Stevenson M, Ward MP, Werkman M, Backer J, Tildesley M. Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support Emergency Disease Management. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 138: 124-133. PMID 28237227 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2017.01.003  0.39
2017 Bradbury NV, Probert WJ, Shea K, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ. Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns. Plos Computational Biology. 13: e1005318. PMID 28207777 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1005318  0.326
2016 Werkman M, Tildesley MJ, Brooks-Pollock E, Keeling MJ. Preserving privacy whilst maintaining robust epidemiological predictions. Epidemics. 17: 35-41. PMID 27792892 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2016.10.004  0.468
2015 Probert WJ, Shea K, Fonnesbeck CJ, Runge MC, Carpenter TE, Dürr S, Garner MG, Harvey N, Stevenson MA, Webb CT, Werkman M, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ. Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter. Epidemics. 15: 10-19. PMID 27266845 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2015.11.002  0.421
2015 Pomeroy LW, Bansal S, Tildesley M, Moreno-Torres KI, Moritz M, Xiao N, Carpenter TE, Garabed RB. Data-Driven Models of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Dynamics: A Review. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases. PMID 26576514 DOI: 10.1111/Tbed.12437  0.477
2015 Dawson PM, Werkman M, Brooks-Pollock E, Tildesley MJ. Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world: modelling disease spread with partial data. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 282: 20150205. PMID 25948687 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2015.0205  0.428
2015 Lindström T, Tildesley M, Webb C. A Bayesian ensemble approach for epidemiological projections. Plos Computational Biology. 11: e1004187. PMID 25927892 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1004187  0.426
2015 Brand SP, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics: a spectral method. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 370: 121-34. PMID 25659478 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2015.01.027  0.378
2014 Shea K, Tildesley MJ, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Ferrari MJ. Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology. Plos Biology. 12: e1001970. PMID 25333371 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pbio.1001970  0.478
2014 Buhnerkempe MG, Tildesley MJ, Lindström T, Grear DA, Portacci K, Miller RS, Lombard JE, Werkman M, Keeling MJ, Wennergren U, Webb CT. The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. Plos One. 9: e91724. PMID 24670977 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0091724  0.404
2013 Porphyre T, Auty HK, Tildesley MJ, Gunn GJ, Woolhouse MEJ. Vaccination against Foot-And-Mouth Disease: Do Initial Conditions Affect Its Benefit? Plos One. 8. PMID 24204895 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0077616  0.367
2013 Flood JS, Porphyre T, Tildesley MJ, Woolhouse ME. The performance of approximations of farm contiguity compared to contiguity defined using detailed geographical information in two sample areas in Scotland: implications for foot-and-mouth disease modelling. Bmc Veterinary Research. 9: 198. PMID 24099627 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-9-198  0.419
2012 Tildesley MJ, Ryan SJ. Disease prevention versus data privacy: using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models. Plos Computational Biology. 8: e1002723. PMID 23133352 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1002723  0.597
2012 Tildesley MJ, Smith G, Keeling MJ. Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 104: 224-39. PMID 22169708 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2011.11.007  0.462
2012 Tildesley MJ, Gally DL, McNeilly TN, Low JC, Mahajan A, Savill NJ. Insights into mucosal innate responses to Escherichia coli O157 : H7 colonization of cattle by mathematical modelling of excretion dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 9: 518-27. PMID 21849385 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2011.0293  0.345
2011 Tildesley MJ, Volkova VV, Woolhouse ME. Potential for epidemic take-off from the primary outbreak farm via livestock movements. Bmc Veterinary Research. 7: 76. PMID 22115121 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-7-76  0.342
2010 Deardon R, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Woolhouse ME. INFERENCE FOR INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL MODELS OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES IN LARGE POPULATIONS. Statistica Sinica. 20: 239-261. PMID 26405426  0.346
2010 Tildesley MJ, House TA, Bruhn MC, Curry RJ, O'Neil M, Allpress JL, Smith G, Keeling MJ. Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 107: 1041-6. PMID 19955428 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.0909047107  0.431
2009 Tildesley MJ, Bessell PR, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME. The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 276: 3239-48. PMID 19570791 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2009.0427  0.442
2009 Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Is R(0) a good predictor of final epidemic size: foot-and-mouth disease in the UK. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 258: 623-9. PMID 19269297 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2009.02.019  0.423
2008 Tildesley MJ, Deardon R, Savill NJ, Bessell PR, Brooks SP, Woolhouse ME, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 275: 1459-68. PMID 18364313 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2008.0006  0.456
2008 Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Modelling foot-and-mouth disease: a comparison between the UK and Denmark. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 85: 107-24. PMID 18328581 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2008.01.008  0.468
2007 Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT. Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 4: 235-41. PMID 17251150 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2006.0178  0.406
2007 Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Brooks SP, Woolhouse MEJ, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Veterinary epidemiology: Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease (reply) Nature. 445: E12-E13. DOI: 10.1038/Nature05605  0.36
2006 Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Brooks SP, Woolhouse ME, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature. 440: 83-6. PMID 16511494 DOI: 10.1038/Nature04324  0.396
2006 Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT. Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. Bmc Veterinary Research. 2: 3. PMID 16412245 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-2-3  0.386
2004 Tildesley MJ, Weiss NO. On the origin of filamentary structure in sunspot penumbrae: non-linear results Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 350: 657-670. DOI: 10.1111/J.1365-2966.2004.07678.X  0.516
Low-probability matches (unlikely to be authored by this person)
2021 Keeling MJ, Guyver-Fletcher G, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Hill EM, Medley GF. Precautionary breaks: Planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease. Epidemics. 37: 100526. PMID 34875583 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100526  0.298
2024 Seibel RL, Meadows AJ, Mundt C, Tildesley M. Modeling target-density-based cull strategies to contain foot-and-mouth disease outbreaks. Peerj. 12: e16998. PMID 38436010 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.16998  0.298
2017 Hill E, Tildesley M, House T. How predictable are flu pandemics? Significance. 14: 28-33. DOI: 10.1111/J.1740-9713.2017.01090.X  0.296
2020 Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li S, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov A, Bhargava SH, Cavany S, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, ... ... Tildesley M, et al. COVID-19 reopening strategies at the county level in the face of uncertainty: Multiple Models for Outbreak Decision Support. Medrxiv : the Preprint Server For Health Sciences. PMID 33173914 DOI: 10.1101/2020.11.03.20225409  0.296
2021 Hill EM, Atkins BD, Keeling MJ, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ. A network modelling approach to assess non-pharmaceutical disease controls in a worker population: An application to SARS-CoV-2. Plos Computational Biology. 17: e1009058. PMID 34133427 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009058  0.291
2003 Tildesley MJ. On the origin of filamentary structure in sunspot penumbrae: linear instabilities Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 338: 497-507. DOI: 10.1046/J.1365-8711.2003.06074.X  0.288
2023 McKendrick JQ, Tennant WSD, Tildesley MJ. Modelling seasonality of Lassa fever incidences and vector dynamics in Nigeria. Plos Neglected Tropical Diseases. 17: e0011543. PMID 37956170 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0011543  0.288
2012 Yan L, Gao Y, Zhang Y, Tildesley M, Liu L, Zhang Y, Wen L, Wang W, Li X, Hu Y, Bai T, Wang M, Zeng Y, Wang D, Wang X, et al. Epidemiological and virological characteristics of pandemic influenza A (H1N1) school outbreaks in China in 2009. Plos One. 7: e45898. PMID 23029300 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0045898  0.285
2020 Holmes A, Tildesley MJ, Solomon AW, Mabey DCW, Sokana O, Marks M, Dyson L. Modeling Treatment Strategies to Inform Yaws Eradication. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 26: 2685-2693. PMID 33079046 DOI: 10.3201/eid2611.191491  0.281
2009 Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Corrigendum to “Is R0 a good predictor of final epidemic size: Foot-and-mouth disease in the UK” Journal of Theoretical Biology. 259: 863. DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2009.05.015  0.28
2021 Pollington TM, Tildesley MJ, Hollingsworth TD, Chapman LAC. Developments in statistical inference when assessing spatiotemporal disease clustering with the tau statistic. Spatial Statistics. 42: 100438. PMID 33816096 DOI: 10.1016/J.Spasta.2020.100438  0.279
2022 Keeling MJ, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Hill EM, Moore S. Comparison of the 2021 COVID-19 roadmap projections against public health data in England. Nature Communications. 13: 4924. PMID 35995764 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-31991-0  0.278
2021 Guyver-Fletcher G, Gorsich EE, Tildesley MJ. A model exploration of carrier and movement transmission as potential explanatory causes for the persistence of foot-and-mouth disease in endemic regions. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases. PMID 34936219 DOI: 10.1111/tbed.14423  0.273
2021 Keeling MJ, Hill EM, Gorsich EE, Penman B, Guyver-Fletcher G, Holmes A, Leng T, McKimm H, Tamborrino M, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ. Predictions of COVID-19 dynamics in the UK: Short-term forecasting and analysis of potential exit strategies. Plos Computational Biology. 17: e1008619. PMID 33481773 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008619  0.266
2021 Fairbanks EL, Brennan ML, Mertens PPC, Tildesley MJ, Daly JM. Re-parameterization of a mathematical model of African horse sickness virus using data from a systematic literature search. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases. PMID 34921513 DOI: 10.1111/tbed.14420  0.261
2020 Southall E, Tildesley MJ, Dyson L. Prospects for detecting early warning signals in discrete event sequence data: Application to epidemiological incidence data. Plos Computational Biology. 16: e1007836. PMID 32960900 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1007836  0.256
2021 Southall E, Brett TS, Tildesley MJ, Dyson L. Early warning signals of infectious disease transitions: a review. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 18: 20210555. PMID 34583561 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2021.0555  0.256
2019 Chaiban C, Biscio C, Thanapongtharm W, Tildesley M, Xiao X, Robinson TP, Vanwambeke SO, Gilbert M. Point pattern simulation modelling of extensive and intensive chicken farming in Thailand: Accounting for clustering and landscape characteristics Agricultural Systems. 173: 335-344. DOI: 10.1016/J.Agsy.2019.03.004  0.255
2021 Moore S, Hill EM, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Modelling optimal vaccination strategy for SARS-CoV-2 in the UK. Plos Computational Biology. 17: e1008849. PMID 33956791 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1008849  0.244
2021 Dyson L, Hill EM, Moore S, Curran-Sebastian J, Tildesley MJ, Lythgoe KA, House T, Pellis L, Keeling MJ. Possible future waves of SARS-CoV-2 infection generated by variants of concern with a range of characteristics. Nature Communications. 12: 5730. PMID 34593807 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-25915-7  0.239
2021 Howerton E, Ferrari MJ, Bjørnstad ON, Bogich TL, Borchering RK, Jewell CP, Nichols JD, Probert WJM, Runge MC, Tildesley MJ, Viboud C, Shea K. Synergistic interventions to control COVID-19: Mass testing and isolation mitigates reliance on distancing. Plos Computational Biology. 17: e1009518. PMID 34710096 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009518  0.238
2022 Moore S, Hill EM, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Retrospectively modeling the effects of increased global vaccine sharing on the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature Medicine. PMID 36302894 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-022-02064-y  0.236
2021 Moore S, Hill EM, Tildesley MJ, Dyson L, Keeling MJ. Vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions for COVID-19: a mathematical modelling study. The Lancet. Infectious Diseases. PMID 33743847 DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(21)00143-2  0.235
2023 Cavallaro M, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Todkill D, Keeling MJ. Spatio-temporal surveillance and early detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern: a retrospective analysis. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 20: 20230410. PMID 37963560 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2023.0410  0.23
2021 Nichols JD, Bogich TL, Howerton E, Bjørnstad ON, Borchering RK, Ferrari M, Haran M, Jewell C, Pepin KM, Probert WJM, Pulliam JRC, Runge MC, Tildesley M, Viboud C, Shea K. Strategic testing approaches for targeted disease monitoring can be used to inform pandemic decision-making. Plos Biology. 19: e3001307. PMID 34138840 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pbio.3001307  0.229
2022 Althobaity Y, Wu J, Tildesley MJ. Non-pharmaceutical interventions and their relevance in the COVID-19 vaccine rollout in Saudi Arabia and Arab Gulf countries. Infectious Disease Modelling. 7: 545-560. PMID 36035780 DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2022.08.005  0.223
2023 Moore S, Hill EM, Dyson L, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Author Correction: Retrospectively modeling the effects of increased global vaccine sharing on the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature Medicine. 1. PMID 36973413 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-023-02303-w  0.213
2022 Prosser NS, Hill EM, Armstrong D, Gow L, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Kaler J, Ferguson E, Green MJ. Descriptive analysis of national bovine viral diarrhoea test data in England (2016-2020). The Veterinary Record. e1854. PMID 35876163 DOI: 10.1002/vetr.1854  0.206
2021 Enright J, Hill EM, Stage HB, Bolton KJ, Nixon EJ, Fairbanks EL, Tang ML, Brooks-Pollock E, Dyson L, Budd CJ, Hoyle RB, Schewe L, Gog JR, Tildesley MJ. SARS-CoV-2 infection in UK university students: lessons from September-December 2020 and modelling insights for future student return. Royal Society Open Science. 8: 210310. PMID 34386249 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.210310  0.204
2020 Brunker K, Jaswant G, Thumbi SM, Lushasi K, Lugelo A, Czupryna AM, Ade F, Wambura G, Chuchu V, Steenson R, Ngeleja C, Bautista C, Manalo DL, Gomez MRR, Chu MYJV, ... ... Tildesley MJ, et al. Rapid in-country sequencing of whole virus genomes to inform rabies elimination programmes. Wellcome Open Research. 5: 3. PMID 32090172 DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15518.1  0.198
2022 Eames KTD, Tang ML, Hill EM, Tildesley MJ, Read JM, Keeling MJ, Gog JR. Coughs, colds and "freshers' flu" survey in the University of Cambridge, 2007-2008. Epidemics. 42: 100659. PMID 36758342 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100659  0.193
2023 Chan YLE, Irvine MA, Prystajecky N, Sbihi H, Taylor M, Joffres Y, Schertzer A, Rose C, Dyson L, Hill EM, Tildesley M, Tyson JR, Hoang LMN, Galanis E. Emergence of SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant and Effect of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions, British Columbia, Canada. Emerging Infectious Diseases. 29. PMID 37640374 DOI: 10.3201/eid2910.230055  0.19
2021 Hill EM, Atkins BD, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ, Dyson L. Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting. Epidemics. 36: 100476. PMID 34224948 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100476  0.183
2022 Herrera-Diestra JL, Tildesley M, Shea K, Ferrari MJ. Cattle transport network predicts endemic and epidemic foot-and-mouth disease risk on farms in Turkey. Plos Computational Biology. 18: e1010354. PMID 35984841 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010354  0.18
2022 Leng T, Hill EM, Holmes A, Southall E, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Dyson L. Quantifying pupil-to-pupil SARS-CoV-2 transmission and the impact of lateral flow testing in English secondary schools. Nature Communications. 13: 1106. PMID 35232987 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-28731-9  0.175
2016 Probert WJM, Shea K, Fonnesbeck CJ, Runge MC, Carpenter TE, Dürr S, Garner MG, Harvey N, Stevenson MA, Webb CT, Werkman M, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ. Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter Epidemics. 15: 10-19. DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2015.11.002  0.167
2006 Keeling M, Tildesley M, Savill N, Woolhouse M, Shaw D, Deardon R, Brooks S, Grenfell B. FMD control strategies Veterinary Record. 158: 707-708. DOI: 10.1136/vr.158.20.707  0.165
2022 Leng T, Hill EM, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Dyson L. Assessing the impact of lateral flow testing strategies on within-school SARS-CoV-2 transmission and absences: A modelling study. Plos Computational Biology. 18: e1010158. PMID 35622860 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010158  0.159
2022 Althobaity Y, Wu J, Tildesley MJ. A comparative analysis of epidemiological characteristics of MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2 in Saudi Arabia. Infectious Disease Modelling. PMID 35938094 DOI: 10.1016/j.idm.2022.07.002  0.154
2021 Southall E, Holmes A, Hill EM, Atkins BD, Leng T, Thompson RN, Dyson L, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ. An analysis of school absences in England during the COVID-19 pandemic. Bmc Medicine. 19: 137. PMID 34092228 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-021-01990-x  0.14
2021 Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ, Atkins BD, Penman B, Southall E, Guyver-Fletcher G, Holmes A, McKimm H, Gorsich EE, Hill EM, Dyson L. The impact of school reopening on the spread of COVID-19 in England. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 376: 20200261. PMID 34053259 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.2020.0261  0.133
2022 Leng T, Hill EM, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ, Thompson RN. The effect of notification window length on the epidemiological impact of COVID-19 contact tracing mobile applications. Communications Medicine. 2: 74. PMID 35774530 DOI: 10.1038/s43856-022-00143-2  0.096
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