Michael J. Tildesley - Publications

Affiliations: 
University of Warwick, UK, Coventry, England, United Kingdom 

65 high-probability publications. We are testing a new system for linking publications to authors. You can help! If you notice any inaccuracies, please sign in and mark papers as correct or incorrect matches. If you identify any major omissions or other inaccuracies in the publication list, please let us know.

Year Citation  Score
2023 Rysava K, Tildesley MJ. Identification of dynamical changes of rabies transmission under quarantine: Community-based measures towards rabies elimination. Plos Computational Biology. 19: e1011187. PMID 38100528 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011187  0.34
2023 Hill EM, Prosser NS, Brown PE, Ferguson E, Green MJ, Kaler J, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ. Incorporating heterogeneity in farmer disease control behaviour into a livestock disease transmission model. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 219: 106019. PMID 37699310 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2023.106019  0.326
2023 de Klerk JN, Gorsich EE, Grewar JD, Atkins BD, Tennant WSD, Labuschagne K, Tildesley MJ. Modelling African horse sickness emergence and transmission in the South African control area using a deterministic metapopulation approach. Plos Computational Biology. 19: e1011448. PMID 37672554 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1011448  0.334
2023 Shea K, Borchering RK, Probert WJM, Howerton E, Bogich TL, Li SL, van Panhuis WG, Viboud C, Aguás R, Belov AA, Bhargava SH, Cavany SM, Chang JC, Chen C, Chen J, ... ... Tildesley MJ, et al. Multiple models for outbreak decision support in the face of uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 120: e2207537120. PMID 37098064 DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2207537120  0.332
2023 Beck-Johnson LM, Gorsich EE, Hallman C, Tildesley MJ, Miller RS, Webb CT. An exploration of within-herd dynamics of a transboundary livestock disease: A foot and mouth disease case study. Epidemics. 42: 100668. PMID 36696830 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2023.100668  0.364
2023 Althobaity Y, Tildesley MJ. Modelling the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions on the spread of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia. Scientific Reports. 13: 843. PMID 36646733 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-26468-5  0.307
2022 Gilbertson K, Brommesson P, Minter A, Hallman C, Miller RS, Portacci K, Sellman S, Tildesley MJ, Webb CT, Lindström T, Beck-Johnson LM. The Importance of Livestock Demography and Infrastructure in Driving Foot and Mouth Disease Dynamics. Life (Basel, Switzerland). 12. PMID 36295038 DOI: 10.3390/life12101604  0.371
2022 Probert WJM, Nicol S, Ferrari MJ, Li SL, Shea K, Tildesley MJ, Runge MC. Vote-processing rules for combining control recommendations from multiple models. Philosophical Transactions. Series a, Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences. 380: 20210314. PMID 35965457 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2021.0314  0.313
2022 Tildesley MJ, Vassall A, Riley S, Jit M, Sandmann F, Hill EM, Thompson RN, Atkins BD, Edmunds J, Dyson L, Keeling MJ. Optimal health and economic impact of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures prior and post vaccination in England: a mathematical modelling study. Royal Society Open Science. 9: 211746. PMID 35958089 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.211746  0.353
2022 Hill EM, Prosser NS, Ferguson E, Kaler J, Green MJ, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ. Modelling livestock infectious disease control policy under differing social perspectives on vaccination behaviour. Plos Computational Biology. 18: e1010235. PMID 35834473 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010235  0.307
2022 Fairbanks EL, Baylis M, Daly JM, Tildesley MJ. Inference for a spatio-temporal model with partial spatial data: African horse sickness virus in Morocco. Epidemics. 39: 100566. PMID 35576724 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100566  0.334
2022 Kretzschmar ME, Ashby B, Fearon E, Overton CE, Panovska-Griffiths J, Pellis L, Quaife M, Rozhnova G, Scarabel F, Stage HB, Swallow B, Thompson RN, Tildesley MJ, Villela D. Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics. Epidemics. 38: 100546. PMID 35183834 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2022.100546  0.345
2022 Keeling MJ, Dyson L, Guyver-Fletcher G, Holmes A, Semple MG, Tildesley MJ, Hill EM. Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. Statistical Methods in Medical Research. 9622802211070257. PMID 35037796 DOI: 10.1177/09622802211070257  0.374
2021 Tao Y, Probert WJM, Shea K, Runge MC, Lafferty K, Tildesley M, Ferrari M. Causes of delayed outbreak responses and their impacts on epidemic spread. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface. 18: 20200933. PMID 33653111 DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2020.0933  0.337
2020 van Andel M, Tildesley MJ, Gates MC. Challenges and opportunities for using national animal datasets to support foot-and-mouth disease control. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases. PMID 32986919 DOI: 10.1111/tbed.13858  0.315
2020 Keeling MJ, Dyson L, Guyver-Fletcher G, Holmes A, Semple MG, Tildesley MJ, Hill EM. Fitting to the UK COVID-19 outbreak, short-term forecasts and estimating the reproductive number. Medrxiv : the Preprint Server For Health Sciences. PMID 32817970 DOI: 10.1101/2020.08.04.20163782  0.367
2020 Thompson RN, Hollingsworth TD, Isham V, Arribas-Bel D, Ashby B, Britton T, Challenor P, Chappell LHK, Clapham H, Cunniffe NJ, Dawid AP, Donnelly CA, Eggo RM, Funk S, Gilbert N, ... ... Tildesley MJ, et al. Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings. Biological Sciences. 287: 20201405. PMID 32781946 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2020.1405  0.663
2020 Atkins BD, Jewell CP, Runge MC, Ferrari MJ, Shea K, Probert WJM, Tildesley MJ. Anticipating future learning affects current control decisions: A comparison between passive and active adaptive management in an epidemiological setting. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 110380. PMID 32698028 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2020.110380  0.415
2020 Tennant W, Tildesley MJ, Spencer SEF, Keeling MJ. Climate drivers of plague epidemiology in British India, 1898–1949 Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 287: 20200538. PMID 32517609 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2020.0538  0.405
2020 Shea K, Runge MC, Pannell D, Probert WJM, Li SL, Tildesley M, Ferrari M. Harnessing multiple models for outbreak management. Science (New York, N.Y.). 368: 577-579. PMID 32381703 DOI: 10.1126/Science.Abb9934  0.326
2020 Sellman S, Tildesley MJ, Burdett CL, Miller RS, Hallman C, Webb CT, Wennergren U, Portacci K, Lindström T. Realistic assumptions about spatial locations and clustering of premises matter for models of foot-and-mouth disease spread in the United States. Plos Computational Biology. 16: e1007641. PMID 32078622 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1007641  0.428
2020 Tsao K, Sellman S, Beck-Johnson LM, Murrieta DJ, Hallman C, Lindström T, Miller RS, Portacci K, Tildesley MJ, Webb CT. Effects of regional differences and demography in modelling foot-and-mouth disease in cattle at the national scale. Interface Focus. 10: 20190054. PMID 31897292 DOI: 10.1098/Rsfs.2019.0054  0.456
2019 Dyson L, Mooring EQ, Holmes A, Tildesley MJ, Marks M. Insights from quantitative and mathematical modelling on the proposed 2030 goals for Yaws. Gates Open Research. 3: 1576. PMID 31886455 DOI: 10.12688/gatesopenres.13078.1  0.362
2019 Li SL, Ferrari MJ, Bjørnstad ON, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Tildesley MJ, Pannell D, Shea K. Concurrent assessment of epidemiological and operational uncertainties for optimal outbreak control: Ebola as a case study. Proceedings. Biological Sciences. 286: 20190774. PMID 31213182 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2019.0774  0.405
2019 Probert WJM, Lakkur S, Fonnesbeck CJ, Shea K, Runge MC, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ. Context matters: using reinforcement learning to develop human-readable, state-dependent outbreak response policies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological Sciences. 374: 20180277. PMID 31104604 DOI: 10.1098/Rstb.2018.0277  0.409
2019 Dessavre AG, Southall E, Tildesley MJ, Dyson L. The problem of detrending when analysing potential indicators of disease elimination. Journal of Theoretical Biology. PMID 30980869 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2019.04.011  0.43
2019 Arzt J, Branan MA, Delgado AH, Yadav S, Moreno-Torres KI, Tildesley MJ, Stenfeldt C. Quantitative impacts of incubation phase transmission of foot-and-mouth disease virus. Scientific Reports. 9: 2707. PMID 30804426 DOI: 10.1038/S41598-019-39029-0  0.411
2019 Rysava K, Tildesley M. Cost-effectiveness analysis of One Health surveillance strategies for rabies control Online Journal of Public Health Informatics. 11. DOI: 10.5210/Ojphi.V11I1.9783  0.364
2018 Retkute R, Jewell CP, Van Boeckel TP, Zhang G, Xiao X, Thanapongtharm W, Keeling M, Gilbert M, Tildesley MJ. Dynamics of the 2004 avian influenza H5N1 outbreak in Thailand: The role of duck farming, sequential model fitting and control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 159: 171-181. PMID 30314780 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2018.09.014  0.394
2018 Hill EM, House T, Dhingra MS, Kalpravidh W, Morzaria S, Osmani MG, Brum E, Yamage M, Kalam MA, Prosser DJ, Takekawa JY, Xiao X, Gilbert M, Tildesley MJ. The impact of surveillance and control on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Dhaka division, Bangladesh. Plos Computational Biology. 14: e1006439. PMID 30212472 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1006439  0.443
2018 Probert WJM, Jewell CP, Werkman M, Fonnesbeck CJ, Goto Y, Runge MC, Sekiguchi S, Shea K, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ. Real-time decision-making during emergency disease outbreaks. Plos Computational Biology. 14: e1006202. PMID 30040815 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1006202  0.512
2018 Sellman S, Tsao K, Tildesley MJ, Brommesson P, Webb CT, Wennergren U, Keeling MJ, Lindström T. Need for speed: An optimized gridding approach for spatially explicit disease simulations. Plos Computational Biology. 14: e1006086. PMID 29624574 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1006086  0.397
2018 Meadows AJ, Mundt CC, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ. Disentangling the influence of livestock vs. farm density on livestock disease epidemics Ecosphere. 9: e02294. DOI: 10.1002/Ecs2.2294  0.312
2017 Gilbert M, Prosser DJ, Zhang G, Artois J, Dhingra MS, Tildesley M, Newman SH, Guo F, Black P, Claes F, Kalpradvidh W, Shin Y, Jeong W, Takekawa JY, Lee H, et al. Could Changes in the Agricultural Landscape of Northeastern China Have Influenced the Long-Distance Transmission of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5Nx Viruses? Frontiers in Veterinary Science. 4: 225. PMID 29312966 DOI: 10.3389/Fvets.2017.00225  0.329
2017 Li SL, Bjørnstad ON, Ferrari MJ, Mummah R, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Tildesley MJ, Probert WJM, Shea K. Essential information: Uncertainty and optimal control of Ebola outbreaks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. PMID 28507121 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.1617482114  0.44
2017 Hill EM, Tildesley MJ, House T. Corrigendum: Evidence for history-dependence of influenza pandemic emergence. Scientific Reports. 7: 46770. PMID 28471456 DOI: 10.1038/Srep46770  0.315
2017 Hill EM, House T, Dhingra MS, Kalpravidh W, Morzaria S, Osmani MG, Yamage M, Xiao X, Gilbert M, Tildesley MJ. Modelling H5N1 in Bangladesh across spatial scales: Model complexity and zoonotic transmission risk. Epidemics. PMID 28325494 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2017.02.007  0.473
2017 Hill EM, Tildesley MJ, House T. Evidence for history-dependence of influenza pandemic emergence. Scientific Reports. 7: 43623. PMID 28252671 DOI: 10.1038/Srep43623  0.398
2017 Webb CT, Ferrari M, Lindström T, Carpenter T, Dürr S, Garner G, Jewell C, Stevenson M, Ward MP, Werkman M, Backer J, Tildesley M. Ensemble modelling and structured decision-making to support Emergency Disease Management. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 138: 124-133. PMID 28237227 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2017.01.003  0.39
2017 Bradbury NV, Probert WJ, Shea K, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Keeling MJ, Ferrari MJ, Tildesley MJ. Quantifying the Value of Perfect Information in Emergency Vaccination Campaigns. Plos Computational Biology. 13: e1005318. PMID 28207777 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1005318  0.326
2016 Werkman M, Tildesley MJ, Brooks-Pollock E, Keeling MJ. Preserving privacy whilst maintaining robust epidemiological predictions. Epidemics. 17: 35-41. PMID 27792892 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2016.10.004  0.468
2015 Probert WJ, Shea K, Fonnesbeck CJ, Runge MC, Carpenter TE, Dürr S, Garner MG, Harvey N, Stevenson MA, Webb CT, Werkman M, Tildesley MJ, Ferrari MJ. Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: Objectives matter. Epidemics. 15: 10-19. PMID 27266845 DOI: 10.1016/J.Epidem.2015.11.002  0.421
2015 Pomeroy LW, Bansal S, Tildesley M, Moreno-Torres KI, Moritz M, Xiao N, Carpenter TE, Garabed RB. Data-Driven Models of Foot-and-Mouth Disease Dynamics: A Review. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases. PMID 26576514 DOI: 10.1111/Tbed.12437  0.477
2015 Dawson PM, Werkman M, Brooks-Pollock E, Tildesley MJ. Epidemic predictions in an imperfect world: modelling disease spread with partial data. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 282: 20150205. PMID 25948687 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2015.0205  0.428
2015 Lindström T, Tildesley M, Webb C. A Bayesian ensemble approach for epidemiological projections. Plos Computational Biology. 11: e1004187. PMID 25927892 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1004187  0.426
2015 Brand SP, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Rapid simulation of spatial epidemics: a spectral method. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 370: 121-34. PMID 25659478 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2015.01.027  0.378
2014 Shea K, Tildesley MJ, Runge MC, Fonnesbeck CJ, Ferrari MJ. Adaptive management and the value of information: learning via intervention in epidemiology. Plos Biology. 12: e1001970. PMID 25333371 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pbio.1001970  0.478
2014 Buhnerkempe MG, Tildesley MJ, Lindström T, Grear DA, Portacci K, Miller RS, Lombard JE, Werkman M, Keeling MJ, Wennergren U, Webb CT. The impact of movements and animal density on continental scale cattle disease outbreaks in the United States. Plos One. 9: e91724. PMID 24670977 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0091724  0.404
2013 Porphyre T, Auty HK, Tildesley MJ, Gunn GJ, Woolhouse MEJ. Vaccination against Foot-And-Mouth Disease: Do Initial Conditions Affect Its Benefit? Plos One. 8. PMID 24204895 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pone.0077616  0.367
2013 Flood JS, Porphyre T, Tildesley MJ, Woolhouse ME. The performance of approximations of farm contiguity compared to contiguity defined using detailed geographical information in two sample areas in Scotland: implications for foot-and-mouth disease modelling. Bmc Veterinary Research. 9: 198. PMID 24099627 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-9-198  0.419
2012 Tildesley MJ, Ryan SJ. Disease prevention versus data privacy: using landcover maps to inform spatial epidemic models. Plos Computational Biology. 8: e1002723. PMID 23133352 DOI: 10.1371/Journal.Pcbi.1002723  0.597
2012 Tildesley MJ, Smith G, Keeling MJ. Modeling the spread and control of foot-and-mouth disease in Pennsylvania following its discovery and options for control. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 104: 224-39. PMID 22169708 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2011.11.007  0.462
2012 Tildesley MJ, Gally DL, McNeilly TN, Low JC, Mahajan A, Savill NJ. Insights into mucosal innate responses to Escherichia coli O157 : H7 colonization of cattle by mathematical modelling of excretion dynamics. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 9: 518-27. PMID 21849385 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2011.0293  0.345
2011 Tildesley MJ, Volkova VV, Woolhouse ME. Potential for epidemic take-off from the primary outbreak farm via livestock movements. Bmc Veterinary Research. 7: 76. PMID 22115121 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-7-76  0.342
2010 Deardon R, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ, Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Woolhouse ME. INFERENCE FOR INDIVIDUAL-LEVEL MODELS OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES IN LARGE POPULATIONS. Statistica Sinica. 20: 239-261. PMID 26405426  0.346
2010 Tildesley MJ, House TA, Bruhn MC, Curry RJ, O'Neil M, Allpress JL, Smith G, Keeling MJ. Impact of spatial clustering on disease transmission and optimal control. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 107: 1041-6. PMID 19955428 DOI: 10.1073/Pnas.0909047107  0.431
2009 Tildesley MJ, Bessell PR, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME. The role of pre-emptive culling in the control of foot-and-mouth disease. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 276: 3239-48. PMID 19570791 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2009.0427  0.442
2009 Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Is R(0) a good predictor of final epidemic size: foot-and-mouth disease in the UK. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 258: 623-9. PMID 19269297 DOI: 10.1016/J.Jtbi.2009.02.019  0.423
2008 Tildesley MJ, Deardon R, Savill NJ, Bessell PR, Brooks SP, Woolhouse ME, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Accuracy of models for the 2001 foot-and-mouth epidemic. Proceedings. Biological Sciences / the Royal Society. 275: 1459-68. PMID 18364313 DOI: 10.1098/Rspb.2008.0006  0.456
2008 Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ. Modelling foot-and-mouth disease: a comparison between the UK and Denmark. Preventive Veterinary Medicine. 85: 107-24. PMID 18328581 DOI: 10.1016/J.Prevetmed.2008.01.008  0.468
2007 Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT. Effect of data quality on estimates of farm infectiousness trends in the UK 2001 foot-and-mouth disease epidemic. Journal of the Royal Society, Interface / the Royal Society. 4: 235-41. PMID 17251150 DOI: 10.1098/Rsif.2006.0178  0.406
2007 Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Brooks SP, Woolhouse MEJ, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Veterinary epidemiology: Vaccination strategies for foot-and-mouth disease (reply) Nature. 445: E12-E13. DOI: 10.1038/Nature05605  0.36
2006 Tildesley MJ, Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Brooks SP, Woolhouse ME, Grenfell BT, Keeling MJ. Optimal reactive vaccination strategies for a foot-and-mouth outbreak in the UK. Nature. 440: 83-6. PMID 16511494 DOI: 10.1038/Nature04324  0.396
2006 Savill NJ, Shaw DJ, Deardon R, Tildesley MJ, Keeling MJ, Woolhouse ME, Brooks SP, Grenfell BT. Topographic determinants of foot and mouth disease transmission in the UK 2001 epidemic. Bmc Veterinary Research. 2: 3. PMID 16412245 DOI: 10.1186/1746-6148-2-3  0.386
2004 Tildesley MJ, Weiss NO. On the origin of filamentary structure in sunspot penumbrae: non-linear results Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society. 350: 657-670. DOI: 10.1111/J.1365-2966.2004.07678.X  0.516
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